Computer Programmers
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Automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 52% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Computer Programmers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (quarterly)
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Computer Programmers' job openings is expected to decline 10.2% by 2032
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2023.
Wages
In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Computer Programmers' was $97,800, or $47 per hour
'Computer Programmers' were paid 111.2% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2022 there were 132,740 people employed as 'Computer Programmers' within the United States.
This represents around 0.09% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 1 thousand people are employed as 'Computer Programmers'.
Job description
Create, modify, and test the code and scripts that allow computer applications to run. Work from specifications drawn up by software and web developers or other individuals. May develop and write computer programs to store, locate, and retrieve specific documents, data, and information.
SOC Code: 15-1251.00
Resources
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Comments
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I think
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I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.
That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.
My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.
It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
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